Saturday, December 27, 2008

Full-day Kindergarten
Howard Fischer, Capitol Media Service, in the Sierra Vista Herald:

PHOENIX — Incoming Gov. Jan Brewer is balking at eliminating state funding for full-day kindergarten despite the $200 million or more it would save taxpayers.

Brewer, in an interview with Jay Lawrence of KTAR Radio in Phoenix, said she understands the need to look at all the money the state spends, what with a $1.2 billion budget deficit this year and a gap of more than $2 billion next year between anticipated revenues and expenses.

With this and other early indicators, such as her refusal to rule out tax increases to deal with the budget crisis, the Governor-in-Waiting is showing she won't be cornered into predictable conservative positions. She's showing real political savvy. The question is: Will she be able to maintain that tone once she's actually in office and making decisions that count?

Monday, December 22, 2008

Ongoing shame of the Maricopa Supervisors
The East Valley Tribune has done an overview of the ongoing dispute between America's worst sheriff and the activist group called Maricopa Citizens for Safety Accountability (MCSA).

Even though many will find MCSA a little too aggressive for their tastes, what should be of concern to every democracy-loving citizen is the ongoing efforts of Maricopa County leaders to deny the group reasonable ways of making their case. It amounts to surpression of public debate.

MCSA leaders have repeated requested an opportunity to be on the county Board of Supervisors' agenda so they can present issues they have involving Sheriff Joe Arpaio. The board's four Republican supervisors repeatedly have blocked this basic right of access. Shame on them.

Meanwhile, Arpaio continues bathering about this as yet another conspiracy against him.

Now that the election is over, and Arpaio has another four years to hoodwink the public, the supervisors have no excuse -- not even a political one -- not to hear what these citizens have to say.

Put them on the agenda!

Saturday, December 20, 2008

Why not have a domestic-partner registry ballot issue?
Phoenix is about to have a domestic-partner registry thanks to a 6-0 City Council vote this week. Phoenix follows Tucson in granting unmarried gay and straight couples hospital visitation rights.

The catch is it will cost couples $50 once the registry begins on Feb. 9. Read the Arizona Republic article here.

While it's a small step, it's the right thing to do. Which prompts the question: Why not have a ballot issue to make the domestic-partner registry a statewide right -- with little or no charge? It would be a good way to take the gay-rights fight public on an issue that is winnable. Even better, pressure state legislators to create the ballot issue themselves. Too many Republican legislators, and perhaps a few Democrats as well, have ducked the issue. They fall back on "marriage is between one man and one women" -- a concept which has widespread public support -- and they rarely get pushed beyond that.

Progressives need to look for better ways to frame issues in Arizona. This would be a good start.

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Sheriff, Treasurer balk on budget priorities
Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio and Treasurer Charles Hoskins are balking at a county Board of Supervisors request for suggestions on how they could cut their departmental budgets by up to 20 percent.

Of the two, Hoskins has the flimiest reasoning. According to the Arizona Republic, he sent supervisors an brief e-mail saying "until I have a better feel for how the current investigation of the Board and its employees might go" he won't submit anything.

What's he talking about? The Stapley charges? Supervisors' alleged pushback at Arpaio and County Attorney Andrew Thomas? Hoskins' remark smacks of a political end-run in the style of Arpaio. Hoskins, who has zero public recognition, needs to seek election if he wants to continue serving as Treasurer. Aligning himself with Arpaio's bravado could be his path. But, as Treasurer, he should be in the thick of finding ways to bridge the county's budget crisis. Instead he's playing politics.

Arpaio has an easier case to make, in theory. Law enforcement and jail supervision should be among the county services cut least. Unfortunately, Arpaio has a very public record on wasting manpower and money on his publicity crusades. He's not immune to belt-tightening. A 20 percent cut would almost certainly impact public safety. But supervisors aren't asking for a 20 percent cut; they're asking for priorities with a mind toward worst case scenarios.

Every county department head should already have been doing that. If Arpaio and Hoskins can't identify ways they could cut budgets while minimizing impact, they're guilty of dereliction of duty.

Thursday, December 11, 2008

Shadegg’s grand plan: Suspend income taxes

Give Rep. John Shadegg (R-AZ 3) credit, at least, for thinking big.


Shadegg wants nothing to do with an auto industry bailout, but he has a grand plan for bringing the economy around.


He wants to eliminate most income taxes, at least temporarily. “While I would favor permanent tax relief, I also believe a substantial tax holiday will do more to stimulate our economy than another taxpayer-funded bailout,” said today in a press release.


Under legislation he proposed Wednesday, individuals making less than $125,000, or couples making up to $250,000, in 2008 would owe no income taxes. Those making more would be a 5% tax break.


Naturally, Shadegg doesn’t say how much this taxpayer bailout would cost, but he asserts that his plan or an alternative proposal to suspend both payroll and income taxes for the first six months of 2009 “would cost dramatically less than the bloated $7 trillion bailout packages peddled by congressional Democrats and the Bush Administration.”


The idea is to let taxpayers decide, through their spending, which business live and which die. His press release doesn’t say which government services and departments must die when hundreds of billions in income tax revenue is jettisoned.


Nor did he adequately explain why he voted against the auto bailout bill when, just a month ago, he explained his vote for the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act, by citing auto industry jobs, among others:



“Make no mistake, the vote today was about Arizonans losing their jobs,” Shadegg said on Oct. 3. “I have spoken with small business owners throughout our state, and they are deeply worried. Several have told me that they cannot currently get credit and they do not believe they will be able to pay their employees next week. Automobile sales plummeted by 27% last month and the drop will be double next month—salesmen and mechanics will lose their jobs. Manufacturers cannot get the materials they need unless they pay in cash.”


This Shadegg plan to save jobs is a grand-but-harebrained plan which has no chance of adoption. Memo to the Rep: Come back to reality and get the hell back to work on realistic ways to shore up the economy.


Shadegg has a blue-sky buddy in Rep. Jeff Flake (R-AZ 6), who also opposed the auto bailout, calling it “simply a very expensive way of delaying the inevitable.”

"With the appointment of a 'car czar,' this legislation is a perfect example of what Friedrich Hayek called the 'fatal conceit' -- the belief that elected officials and bureaucrats can outguess millions of decisions made by independent actors in the marketplace," Flake's post-vote press release said.


Bottom line on Shadegg and Flake: They’re all for letting the market decide. I wonder if their faith is based on the relatively regulation-free environment of market decisions in recent years. Permit me pause before genuflecting to their tainted god of unfettered, crap-shooting capitalism.


New Times nails Arpaio-Stapley double standard
Thank God for the Phoenix New Times.

In this time of newspaper retrenchments and increased timidity, I knew we could count on the New Times to raise the obvious question. The sub-head in Sarah Fenske's article this week covers it completely: "Don Stapley's biggest crime? Failing to hid his real estate dealings as well as Joe Arpaio did."

Sure, the New Times hates Sheriff Arpaio and his bumbling sidekick, County Attorney Andrew Thomas. They have good reason after the draconian Thomas-Arpaio assault, led by hired gun Dennis Wilenchik, Thomas's old boss, that resulted in the arrest of New Times owners Michael Lacey and Jim Larkin. That Arpaio-Thomas witch hunt fell apart as soon as the public got a whiff of Maricopa County "justice" in action.

Read Sarah Fenske's article, "No Honor Among Thieves," and tell me where she's wrong. You may not like the New Times, for any number of reasons, but here's another example of why they're one of the very few sources of courageous journalism in the Valley today.

A sample from the lead:

The world's pettiest law enforcement duo is at it again. Sheriff Joe Arpaio and County Attorney Andrew Thomas have socked Maricopa County Supervisor Don Stapley with 118 felony counts for -- gasp! -- failing to fill out paperwork properly.

I'm not exaggerating. The 39-page indictment issued against Stapley last week is full of serious-sounding allegations: perjury, forgery, false swearing. But here's what it comes down to. Stapley listed his real estate investment company on financial disclosure forms with the county. But for fourteen years, he failed to list the company's holdings.

That's it.


Arizona's economic picture gets bleaker
Today's East Valley Tribune front page graphically shows Arizona's -- and the nation's -- economic situation. It's bad and still getting worse.

The EVT spread highlights the $76,100 drop in the medium value of a home in the Valley in the past year, as well as the approximately 71,000 job lost here from October 2007 to October 2008. Mercifully, in-migration slowed to half its normal level. Instead of normal population increase (200,000 annually in recent years) only about 100,000 people moved to Arizona this year.

The job picture is bleak, with construction jobs leading the retreat, down 37,600 for the year. Retail followed with a loss of 17,600. There were bright spots. Health care added 10,000 jobs, and the science/technology sector was on the plus side with 2,700 more positions this year. Oddly, though, government added 6,200 jobs in 2008. Clearly retrenchment hadn't kicked in yet. The EVT article offered no insight into the surge in government jobs.

Deep in the jobs story is a comment from Scottsdale-based economist Elliott Pollack that Maricopa County still has "30,000 to 50,000 too many homes." That's in line with predictions of no growth next year.

The home price article was illustrated with a two-year graph showing the dramatic decline in prices. But the worst news -- in human terms as well as an economic indicator -- came in this sentence: "Of the total recorded activity in the resale market, 48 percent represent homes that are being taken from the owner-occupant and put into banks or investors." That's ASU realty studies director Jay Butler's polite way of saying 48% of the activity was through foreclosures.



Sunday, December 07, 2008

More on the mess Arpaio has made
The Goldwater Institute's Clint Bolick followed up the Institute's damning report on Maricopa Sheriff Joe Arpaio and his department's "misguided mission," with an excellent column in Sunday's East Valley Tribune. Read it here.

He makes an important point about Arpaio's sweeps:

Public reaction to the report seems divided between people who think the immigration sweeps are a good idea and those who don't. The question is not whether to enforce immigration laws, but how to most effectively do so. The sweeps are extremely costly in terms of manpower, yet yield few arrests of illegal immigrants and do not reduce crime in the areas in which they are conducted. Other police departments focus primarily on policing violent crimes and determine illegal status during booking. So far, the sweeps have led to only about 200 arrests of illegal immigrants, compared to 16,000 through the booking process.

Saturday, December 06, 2008

Brewer makes smart first impression
Give Governor-in-Waiting Jan Brewer high marks for taking a realistic approach to her new role in one of her first public pronouncements. She refused to rule out tax increases while the state deals with its budget crisis. All options are on the table, Brewer said.

That's as it should be. Some from the Republican Right are having fits already, but they don't understand the role of an elected leader. Brewer can't hobble herself and her office by sticking to hardline positions that sound great in an election but which might make governing responsibly very difficult.

The truth is Brewer will resist any tax increases. But this is no simple budget downturn. Something more than "cutting the fat" will be necessary. She -- and the Legislature -- can't rule anything out at this point.

Read the Arizona Republic story here.

Friday, December 05, 2008

Janet's departure -- a mini-scandal
Greg Patterson (Expresso Pundit) has uncovered a dirty little secret in the Governor's office:

"Then there's the fact that Governor's office didn't cap the vacation hours. Most state employees are limited to 240 hours of accrued vacation, but uncovered employees can save up to 320 hours. Quite a few of the Governor's staff are over this limit, with several of them in the 500 hour range and one staffer has more than 1,000 hours of unused vacation. That one person will get a check for nearly $40,000 upon leaving service."

This looks particularly embarressing in light of the current budget crisis. You'll be seeing a lot about these figures from Republicans in the coming weeks.

Thursday, December 04, 2008

A back-handed compliment for Janet
Opps. Those pesky open mics! It happened to Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell yesterday. Talking about Gov. Janet Napolitano selection as Homeland Security Secretary, Rendell said, "“Janet’s perfect for that job. Because for that job, you have to have no life. Janet has no family. Perfect. She can devote, literally, 19, 20 hours a day to it.” Read the Christian Science Monitor account.

You'll also want to pay attention to CNN's Campbell Brown on the sexism of Rendell's remark. It's in the same article.


Wednesday, December 03, 2008

Maricopa County Supervisor Indicted
Veteran Supervisor Don Stapley has been indicted on more than 100 felony and misdemeanor counts largely involving failure to make required financial disclosures. He vows to fight the charges.
Read the Arizona Republic and East Valley Tribune stories here and here.

Stapley, a Republican, was easily reelected a month ago. His district includes Scottdale, Mesa, Paradise Valley, Gilbert and parts of Phoenix. He was first elected to the Board of Supervisors in 1994.

The charges are an embarrassment to the National Association of Counties. Stapley is president of the organization, which represents more than 2,000 counties.

Arizona has one of the nation's toughest financial disclosure laws for public officials and candidates. A copy of the law is here, and an example of the financial disclosure form is here.


Tuesday, December 02, 2008

Goldwater Institute criticizes Arpaio

First, it was the excellent, five-part East Valley Tribune series detailing serious flaws in the Maricopa County Sheriff's Department operation earlier this year. Many Arpaio apologists dismissed the series as politically-motivated.

Now, a month after Sheriff Joe Arpaio was reelected by a comfortable margin, the Goldwater Institute chimes in with a 22-page Policy Report with the devastating title: "Mission Unaccomplished: The Misplaced Priorities of the Maricopa County Sheriff's Office."

From the report's Introduction:

There is no question that Sheriff Arpaio and MCSO are “tough” on people arrested for or convicted of crimes—and that a large majority of Maricopa County voters applaud that toughness as evidenced by polls and past elections. But toughness is only one ingredient for a successful sheriff ’s department, and by itself is far from sufficient. In this report, we examine MCSO’s record in light of its vision as the office itself defines it:

The Maricopa County Sheriff ’s Office is a fully integrated law enforcement agency committed to being the leader in establishing the standards for providing professional quality law enforcement, detention, and support services to the citizens of Maricopa County and to other criminal justice agencies.

We find that too often, in a variety of ways, MCSO falls short of accomplishing this vitally important mission.

As Maricopa County confronts its intense fiscal woes, it's important that Supervisors read and heed this report, as well as the East Valley Tribune's earlier findings. But since they've shown no interest in exercising their oversight responsibilities in the past, that's probably just wishful thinking.


Editorial reaction to Napolitano's departure

Yuma Sun:

The transition to a new governor will be complicated because Napolitano plans to stay in office until her confirmation as homeland security secretary, apparently fully participating in legislative initiatives and even giving the State of the State speech which normally involves laying out plans for the future.

It is understandable that Napolitano wants to remain in office until she is certain of her new position, but it does put the state at a disadvantage, especially at this critical fiscal stage. Napolitano needs to recognize this and draw Brewer fully into the legislative planning process …

Arizona Daily Sun, Flagstaff:

We're not quite sure what to make of Gov. Janet Napolitano's desire to stay on in January to deliver the State of the State address and a draft state budget. …

But now that Napolitano is herself a lame duck, Republicans might decide to wait and ram through budget revisions soon after the governor steps down in late January. The longer they wait, however, the harder it is for universities and other state agencies to make major spending cuts. 

East Valley Tribune:

[M]any Arizona Democrats feel abandoned as their standard-bearer will pass the torch to Secretary of State Jan Brewer … But the reality is divided government has played a significant role in the state’s budget crisis, the issue that will dominate Arizona politics through the 2010 elections. …the political tug of war between Napolitano and the Legislature has delayed tough choices on long-term solutions. With Brewer at the helm, state government is more likely to approach buget solutions from a common perspective to pursue necessary spending cuts. It also means Republicans will reap all the rewards and all the blame for those decisions.

Arizona Daily Star, Tucson:

Brewer's move to the governor's office could cause upheaval in state agencies and their policy directions. The Arizona Legislature is dominated by Maricopa County Republicans and Napolitano provided an effective backstop to their efforts to slash necessary state services, such as public education.

We call on Brewer to respect the wishes of Arizona voters who elected Napolitano, and to resist the urge to replace agency directors or make significant changes to policies. Brewer was not elected to the post: Voters chose Napolitano, who differs from Brewer on many issues.

Arizona Republic:

An accomplished pragmatist, Napolitano supported a temporary-worker program and signed the nation's toughest employer-sanctions law. She found a centrist path through an explosive issue and never stooped to vilify illegal immigrants.

Barack Obama should make Napolitano his point person in what we hope is an immediate push by his administration for comprehensive reform. 

Brewer gigged on voting machine policies
Blogger Brad Friedman (bradblog.com), who follows voting machine issues, sees Jan Brewer as "one of the country's absolute worst secretaries of state" and trouble for the state when she becomes Governor:

Brewer signed the contract ... to bring unverifiable Diebold touch-screen voting systems into the state, long after they had been shown by computer scientists and security experts to be inaccurate, unreliable, and easily tampered with. She has been aggressively opposed to virtually every move towards transparency and citizen oversight in her state's elections, in favor of purges and restrictions against legal voters at the polls, and even went as far as to publicly call her own citizens who spoke up against her embrace of the use of unverifiable Diebold voting machines "anarchists" and "conspiracy theorists."

She and her office have also blatantly lied to their citizens about their voting machines, and subsequently were so cowardly that they even refused to discuss the issue on air with us, in a setting friendly to them (because they know we would have called them on those lies).